Technical analysis| Nifty form bearish candle on weekly basis
Bearish candle in nifty!what to do?
On December 16, the Nifty50, a stock market index in India, closed at 18,269, a decrease of 0.79% from the previous day. This decline was influenced by growing fears of a potential recession and nervousness in global markets. At the start of the day, the index opened lower at 18,319 but briefly recovered to reach a high of 18,441 before falling to a low of 18,255. For the week, the Nifty lost 228 points. In terms of technical analysis, the Nifty formed a bearish candle with a long upper shadow, which resembled an Inverted Hammer pattern on both the daily and weekly charts. This pattern is often seen as a bearish signal, suggesting that the Nifty could continue to decline from its current levels. The next support level is expected to be the 50-day simple moving average, which is a measure of the Nifty's average price over the past 50 days, at the 18,100-18,000 range. On the other hand, the immediate resistance zone is expected to be at 18,400.
In addition to these technical indicators, the options data also shows that the Nifty's expected trading range has shifted lower to 18,100-18,500 for the near term. The options data reflects the activity of call and put options, which are financial instruments that give the holder the right to buy or sell a specific asset at a predetermined price. In this case, the maximum open interest for call options, or the number of outstanding contracts to buy the underlying asset, was at the 19,000 strike, followed by the 18,700 strike. There was also call writing, or the sale of call options, at the 18,300 and 18,400 strikes. For put options, or the right to sell the underlying asset, the maximum open interest was at the 18,000 strike, followed by the 17,500 strike, with put writing at the 18,000 and 17,800 strikes.
The volatility index India VIX, which is a measure of the market's expected volatility over the next 30 days, also increased on December 16, rising 2.48% from 13.73 to 14.07. This increase in the VIX suggests that the market is anticipating increased volatility in the near future. The Bank Nifty, a banking index in India, also saw a decline on December 16, opening at 43,262 and closing 279 points lower at 43,220. It formed a long-legged Doji candle on the daily frame, which is a chart pattern that signifies indecision among buyers and sellers. For the week, the Bank Nifty was 1% lower, forming a bearish candle on the weekly scale. According to Chandan Taparia, Vice President and Analyst of Derivatives at Motilal Oswal Financial Services, if the Bank Nifty stays below 43,500, it could weaken further to the 43,000 and 42,750 levels, but will face resistance at 43,500 and 43,750.
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